Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.069268 0.076648 0.084740 0.094314 0.105393 0.117878 0.133114
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.057361 0.067176 0.078806 0.093781 0.112819 0.136589 0.169124
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.050046 0.061235 0.075326 0.094770 0.121556 0.158199 0.214088
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.044823 0.056799 0.072649 0.095822 0.130046 0.180896 0.266864
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.040784 0.053191 0.070303 0.096590 0.137871 0.204015 0.327446
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.037338 0.049869 0.067759 0.096428 0.143938 0.225458 0.392531
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.034249 0.046652 0.064876 0.095150 0.147726 0.243647 0.458262
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.032406 0.045025 0.064116 0.097031 0.157094 0.274245 0.563850
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.030100 0.042454 0.061569 0.095490 0.159867 0.292466 0.649317
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.028592 0.040963 0.060556 0.096409 0.167404 0.322752 0.784036
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.026967 0.039138 0.058795 0.095706 0.171513 0.346477 0.915299
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.025863 0.038053 0.058152 0.096959 0.179912 0.383197 1.118453
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.024801 0.036974 0.057451 0.098086 0.188484 0.424084 1.380331
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.023602 0.035577 0.056066 0.097686 0.193549 0.457511 1.651453
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.022728 0.034664 0.055464 0.098800 0.202513 0.506432 2.071264
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.021931 0.033825 0.054914 0.099942 0.211837 0.561022 2.627502
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.021159 0.032974 0.054261 0.100767 0.220560 0.618173 3.340300
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.020332 0.031967 0.053223 0.100601 0.226575 0.668816 4.156035
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.019437 0.030782 0.051746 0.099252 0.228972 0.706805 4.993036
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.018972 0.030348 0.051706 0.101243 0.241746 0.797074 6.902248
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.018165 0.029236 0.050225 0.099612 0.243069 0.836412 8.352167
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.017672 0.028680 0.049828 0.100585 0.252994 0.925558 11.529091
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.017048 0.027842 0.048791 0.099841 0.257137 0.988145 14.943941